Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.428548 0.503822 0.586489 0.683749 0.794770 0.917263 1.062351
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.314248 0.414268 0.535034 0.690411 0.883713 1.114881 1.410706
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.240015 0.349733 0.493480 0.692865 0.959071 1.298683 1.760534
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.192473 0.306392 0.466648 0.703661 1.039365 1.490987 2.136092
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.155926 0.269222 0.439231 0.705461 1.102568 1.661809 2.494733
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.122589 0.229114 0.399218 0.680419 1.120592 1.767126 2.767341
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.106660 0.213427 0.393194 0.704190 1.210834 1.981055 3.209819
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.092683 0.198013 0.384513 0.721197 1.290346 2.183296 3.648175
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.085193 0.192841 0.392014 0.765046 1.415863 2.464544 4.225686
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.072504 0.174921 0.373744 0.761204 1.460390 2.619286 4.614075
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.061153 0.157284 0.353029 0.749655 1.489216 2.748820 4.968611
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052208 0.142880 0.336174 0.742602 1.524144 2.889407 5.348414
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046305 0.134421 0.330542 0.757354 1.601704 3.111239 5.884434
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040611 0.125228 0.321976 0.765197 1.667079 3.316730 6.406735
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035377 0.115960 0.311724 0.768093 1.722817 3.508481 6.916817
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031445 0.109226 0.306123 0.779984 1.796951 3.738240 7.507684
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027490 0.101415 0.296645 0.781983 1.850797 3.933248 8.046549
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022683 0.089710 0.275496 0.754597 1.840604 4.005280 8.362659
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020911 0.087090 0.277170 0.780609 1.945859 4.306760 9.123800
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019020 0.083570 0.275870 0.799212 2.036361 4.584457 9.854261
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018361 0.084189 0.286028 0.847149 2.195579 5.008462 10.886975
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016021 0.078027 0.276004 0.842951 2.236716 5.195603 11.468507
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013752 0.071392 0.263380 0.830327 2.257051 5.340674 11.974050